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It’s hard to know the direction of the equities market over the next six months… it’s impossible.  The best we can do is protect our positions and watch for signs of weakness that could affect our risk exposure.  There are two economic reports coming out next week that are a little concerning and worth noting.  This week’s retail and unemployment numbers will give us a better feel for the strength of the economy, but these two charts keep circling in my mind:

 

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